Tag: Forecasting

  1. How long until AI can run without humans? Cotra and Lee disagree by decades (asteriskmag.com)
    AI · · July 6, 2026
  2. Narayanan and Kapoor: the WARN data does not support the AI layoff story (normaltech.ai)
    AI · · June 16, 2026
  3. Nathan Lambert: the Fable export ban is AI governance's starting gun (interconnects.ai)
    AI · · June 16, 2026
  4. Anthropic puts numbers on how much of AI development is now done by AI (anthropic.com)
    AI · · June 4, 2026
  5. Open and closed AI models are on different exponentials (interconnects.ai)
    AI · · June 1, 2026
  6. WeatherNext called Hurricane Melissa's Category 5 landfall five days out (deepmind.google)
    AI · · May 29, 2026
  7. RSI is the new AGI, and just as hard to pin down (techcrunch.com)
    AI · · May 28, 2026
  8. Where AI goes from here, in Nathan Lambert's mid-2026 read (interconnects.ai)
    AI · · May 26, 2026
  9. A model says 13 percent automation is enough to tip growth into the explosive zone (importai.substack.com)
    AI · · May 11, 2026
  10. Jack Clark puts a number on AI that trains its own successor (importai.substack.com)
    AI · · May 4, 2026
  11. Nathan Lambert bets open models win on economics, not benchmarks (interconnects.ai)
    AI · · April 15, 2026
  12. Nathan Lambert's counter-take: self-improvement will be lossy, not explosive (interconnects.ai)
    AI · · March 22, 2026
  13. Ethan Mollick: the job is shifting from talking to AI to managing it (oneusefulthing.org)
    AI · · March 12, 2026
  14. Import AI 445: Bostrom on when to race, and a math benchmark AI can't beat yet (importai.substack.com)
    AI · · February 16, 2026
  15. AI as Normal Technology (normaltech.ai)
    AI · · April 15, 2025
  16. Situational Awareness: One Insider's Case for Fast AGI (situational-awareness.ai)
    AI · · June 4, 2024

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